Air Force at Army
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Air Force 39% Underdog
Army 61% Favorite
Army is the model's favorite at 61%. Air Force has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for Army — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Air Force offense
31 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
Army offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup