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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Illinois at Northwestern

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Ryan Field

Illinois
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
10.4
National rank
28
Proj. wins
7.6
Playoff prob.
4%
Northwestern
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
5.1
National rank
49
Proj. wins
5.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Illinois
59%
Northwestern
41%
Northwestern 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 5.3

Illinois is the model's favorite at 59%. Northwestern has a 41% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Northwestern.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Illinois offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Northwestern offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Ryan Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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