Conference game
Ohio State at Nebraska
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Ohio State 79% Favorite
Nebraska 21% Underdog
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 79%. Nebraska has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Nebraska — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio State offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Nebraska offense
25 / 100 Style-neutral matchup