Conference game
Nebraska at Illinois
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 8:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Nebraska 74% Favorite
Illinois 26% Underdog
Nebraska is the model's favorite at 74%. Illinois has a 26% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.3 rating points baked in for Illinois — venue-specific night-game value (n=58 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Nebraska offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Illinois offense
Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup