2026 Week 2
Eastern Michigan at Michigan State
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Spartan Stadium
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -16.1
- National rank
- 122
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Michigan State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 2.2
- National rank
- 62
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Eastern Michigan
9%
Michigan State
91%
Michigan State 90% CI: 88% – 94% Δ rating 18.3
Michigan State is the model's favorite at 91%. Eastern Michigan has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.4 rating points baked in for Michigan State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Eastern Michigan offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Michigan State offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
85°F
Precipitation
15%
Wind
10 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Spartan Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No