Conference game
Clemson at Duke
Friday, November 20, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Clemson 40% Underdog
Duke 60% Favorite
Duke is the model's favorite at 60%. Clemson has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.2 rating points baked in for Duke — venue-specific night-game value (n=52 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Clemson offense
Higher fit 43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Duke offense
35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup