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Boston College at Notre Dame

Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 3:30 PM EST

GIE win probability

Boston College 2% Underdog
Notre Dame 98% Favorite
Notre Dame 90% CI
97–98%
Δ rating
Notre Dame +26.7

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 98%. Boston College has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.5 rating points baked in for Notre Dame — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Boston College offense 34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Notre Dame offense Higher fit 43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup