Conference game
Florida State at Pittsburgh
Friday, November 13, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Florida State 41% Underdog
Pittsburgh 59% Favorite
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 59%. Florida State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific night-game value (n=56 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida State offense
29 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
Higher fit 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup