Conference game
Louisville at NC State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Louisville | 0 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 28 |
 NC State Winner | 3 | 10 | 15 | 3 | 31 |
GIE pre-game call: Louisville at 76%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Louisville 76% Favorite
NC State 24% Underdog
Louisville is the model's favorite at 76%. NC State has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.9 rating points baked in for NC State — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.