2026 Week 3 · Conference game
Stanford at Duke
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
Wallace Wade Stadium
Stanford
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 3.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Duke
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Stanford
25%
Duke
75%
Duke 90% CI: 67% – 81% Δ rating 7.9
Duke is the model's favorite at 75%. Stanford has a 25% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.7 rating points baked in for Duke — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Stanford offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Duke offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Wallace Wade Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No