2026 Week 2
Duke at Illinois
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
Duke
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 10.4
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Duke
37%
Illinois
63%
Illinois 90% CI: 54% – 72% Δ rating 4.8
Illinois is the model's favorite at 63%. Duke has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.4 rating points baked in for Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Duke offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Illinois offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Partly cloudy
Temperature
85°F
Precipitation
9%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No