2026 Week 1
Tulane at Duke
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Wallace Wade Stadium
Tulane
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.3
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 7.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Duke
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 6.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulane
21%
Duke
79%
Duke 90% CI: 72% – 85% Δ rating 9.9
Duke is the model's favorite at 79%. Tulane has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.7 rating points baked in for Duke — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulane offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Duke offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Heavy rain showers
Temperature
72°F
Precipitation
60%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Wallace Wade Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No