Conference game
UCF at Colorado
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
UCF 54% Favorite
Colorado 46% Underdog
UCF is the model's favorite at 54%. Colorado has a 46% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.5 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCF offense
Higher fit 43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup