2026 Week 13 · Conference game
Baylor at Houston
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
TDECU Stadium
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Houston
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 7.4
- National rank
- 38
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Baylor
29%
Houston
71%
Houston 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 3.6
Houston is the model's favorite at 71%. Baylor has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Baylor offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Houston offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- TDECU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No