Conference game

Baylor at Houston

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Baylor 27% Underdog

Houston 73% Favorite

Houston 90% CI: 65–80%
Δ rating: Houston +4.8

Houston is the model's favorite at 73%. Baylor has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Baylor and Houston compared
Measure	Baylor Big 12	Houston Big 12
Record	5-3	6-2
Rating	8.5	13.3
National rank	43	22
Proj. wins	7.1	8.8
Playoff prob.	8%	30%

Game info

Venue: TDECU Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Baylor offense 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

Houston offense Higher fit 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup