Conference game

Colorado at Cincinnati

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Colorado 14% Underdog

Cincinnati 86% Favorite

Cincinnati 90% CI: 81–90%
Δ rating: Cincinnati +11.0

Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 86%. Colorado has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.5 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Colorado and Cincinnati compared
Measure	Colorado Big 12	Cincinnati Big 12
Record	3-5	5-3
Rating	−4.3	6.7
National rank	93	49
Proj. wins	4.1	6.7
Playoff prob.	0%	0%

Game info

Venue: Nippert Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Colorado offense 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

Cincinnati offense Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup