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Conference game

Houston at Colorado

Friday, November 13, 2026 · 10:15 PM EST

GIE win probability

Houston 76% Favorite
Colorado 24% Underdog
Houston 90% CI
69–82%
Δ rating
Houston +17.6

Houston is the model's favorite at 76%. Colorado has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +8.2 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific night-game value (n=51 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Houston offense Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense 33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup