2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Texas Tech at Colorado
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Folsom Field
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 21.8
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.7
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas Tech
84%
Colorado
16%
Colorado 90% CI: 12% – 22% Δ rating 21.1
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 84%. Colorado has a 16% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.9 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas Tech offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado offense
23 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Folsom Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No