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Conference game

TCU at UCF

Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
TCU 7330 13
UCF Winner 7707 21

GIE pre-game call: TCU at 53%. Miss

Pre-game

GIE win probability

TCU 53% Favorite
UCF 47% Underdog
TCU 90% CI
44–62%
Δ rating
TCU +4.1

TCU is the model's favorite at 53%. UCF has a 47% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.1 rating points baked in for UCF — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.