2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Colorado at Baylor
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
McLane Stadium
Colorado
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 0.7
- National rank
- 65
- Proj. wins
- 3.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Baylor
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Colorado
38%
Baylor
62%
Baylor 90% CI: 53% – 71% Δ rating 3.1
Baylor is the model's favorite at 62%. Colorado has a 38% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.9 rating points baked in for Baylor — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Colorado offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Baylor offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- McLane Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No