2026 Week 2
UCF at Pittsburgh
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Acrisure Stadium
UCF
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.7
- National rank
- 63
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UCF
31%
Pittsburgh
69%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 60% – 76% Δ rating 4.5
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 69%. UCF has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UCF offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
79°F
Precipitation
18%
Wind
3 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No