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2026 Week 10 · Conference game

Alabama at LSU

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Tiger Stadium (LA)

Alabama
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
17.6
National rank
13
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
10%
LSU
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
20.4
National rank
10
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Alabama
33%
LSU
67%
LSU 90% CI: 59% – 75% Δ rating 2.8

LSU is the model's favorite at 67%. Alabama has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Alabama offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

LSU offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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