2026 Week 2 · Conference game
Alabama at Kentucky
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Kroger Field
Alabama
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.6
- National rank
- 13
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
Kentucky
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.2
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Alabama
76%
Kentucky
24%
Kentucky 90% CI: 18% – 31% Δ rating 12.4
Alabama is the model's favorite at 76%. Kentucky has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Kentucky — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Alabama offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kentucky offense
35 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
87°F
Precipitation
14%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Kroger Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No