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2026 Week 1

Clemson at LSU

Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC

Tiger Stadium (LA)

Clemson
ACC
Record
0-0
Rating
13.1
National rank
23
Proj. wins
7.7
Playoff prob.
4%
LSU
SEC
Record
0-0
Rating
20.4
National rank
10
Proj. wins
6.3
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Clemson
17%
LSU
83%
LSU 90% CI: 77% – 87% Δ rating 7.3

LSU is the model's favorite at 83%. Clemson has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.2 rating points baked in for LSU — venue-specific night-game value (n=58 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Clemson offense
35 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

LSU offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
79°F
Precipitation
14%
Wind
4 mph

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Venue
Tiger Stadium (LA)
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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