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UTEP

Miners · Mountain West

GIE rank
#136
of 138 FBS
Rating
1253
2026 Week 10
Record
1-7
2026 season
Proj record
2-10
12-game season

Head coach Scotty Walden Year 3 with UTEP

Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation

Season projection

2026 W10 · 10,000 sims
Expected wins
2.1
1.1 more wins in 4 left
Win range (90%)
1 to 4
Final rank (90%)
#137 (133–138)
Make playoff
0%
Win conference
0%

Path to glory

No remaining game changes UTEP's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%

Schedule

Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.

Schedule and results
Week Opponent Result or win prob.Result or win probability
Wk 1 Sep 5 at Oklahoma SEC Loss, 0-51 Final
Wk 2 Sep 13 vs Texas Southern Non-FBS Win, 51-10 Final
Wk 3 Sep 19 at Michigan Big Ten Loss, 17-52 Final
Wk 4 Sep 27 vs Oregon State Pac-12 Loss, 7-33 Final
Wk 5 Oct 3 at New Mexico Mountain West Loss, 7-61 Final
Wk 6 Oct 10 vs Nevada Mountain West Loss, 13-30 Final
Wk 7 Oct 18 vs San José State Mountain West Loss, 11-24 Final
Wk 8 Bye
Wk 9 Oct 31 at North Dakota State Mountain West Loss, 7-31 Final
Wk 10 Nov 8 vs Hawai'i Mountain West Win probability: 18%
Wk 11 Nov 14 vs Wyoming Mountain West Win probability: 14%
Wk 12 Nov 21 at Air Force Mountain West Win probability: 4%
Wk 13 Nov 28 at Northern Illinois Mountain West Win probability: 45%

Latest stories

Stories about UTEP will appear here as they're published. Check back during the season for analysis, hot takes, and game write-ups.

In the news

More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.

If QB1 is out

Skyler Locklear

GIE projects a -1.6 rating drop and a -6.5pp shift in playoff probability if UTEP loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=3 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)

Returning production · 2026

45 score

  • Quarterback 1% (3/5)
  • Offensive line 72% (13/18) players
  • Skill (RB/WR/TE) 16% (16/28)
  • Front 7 (DL/LB) 85% (25/33)
  • Secondary 89% (23/26)
  • Special teams 100% (8/10)

Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.

Portal additions · 2026

−0.7 rating

20 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.

UTEP incoming transfers
Player From Impact
Carver CheeksWR From Northern Colorado Northern Colorado 85
Sterling MilesDE From Eastern Michigan Eastern Michigan 72
EJ Colson Jr.QB From Incarnate Word Incarnate Word 50
Lamar SperlingRB From Buffalo Buffalo 34
Kaleb MilesCB From East Texas A&M East Texas A&M 33
Raymond Moore IIIQB From Morgan State Morgan State 25

Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.

Situational efficiency · 2025

FBS percentile rank
  • 3rd-down conversion 31.3%
    20th — bottom tier
  • Red-zone TD rate 12.1%
    26th — below avg
  • 4th-down aggression 40.6%
    68th — average
  • Late & close 5.8 yds/play
    71th — strong

Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.