2026 Week 1
UTEP at Oklahoma
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
UTEP
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -19.3
- National rank
- 127
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Oklahoma
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 18.8
- National rank
- 11
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 27%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UTEP
1%
Oklahoma
99%
Oklahoma 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 38.1
Oklahoma is the model's favorite at 99%. UTEP has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.1 rating points baked in for Oklahoma — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UTEP offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oklahoma offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
83°F
Precipitation
0%
Wind
9 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No