Panthers · Sun Belt
Head coach Dell McGee Year 3 with Georgia State
Year-3 HCs (2015-2024) averaged -0.10 W vs. preseason expectation
No remaining game changes Georgia State's playoff odds. Make playoff 0%
Full 2026 slate. Tap a row for the matchup breakdown.
| Week | Opponent | Result or win prob.Result or win probability |
|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 Sep 4 | vs North Carolina A&T Non-FBS | Win, 59-10 Final |
| Wk 2 Sep 12 | at Kennesaw State Conference USA | Win, 31-17 Final |
| Wk 3 Sep 19 | at UCF Big 12 | Loss, 30-44 Final |
| Wk 4 Sep 26 | vs Northern Illinois Mountain West | Win, 35-14 Final |
| Wk 5 Oct 3 | vs Old Dominion Sun Belt | Win, 42-10 Final |
| Wk 6 | Bye | |
| Wk 7 Oct 17 | at James Madison Sun Belt | Loss, 22-49 Final |
| Wk 8 Oct 24 | at Arkansas State Sun Belt | Loss, 32-38 Final |
| Wk 9 Oct 31 | vs Coastal Carolina Sun Belt | Loss, 20-31 Final |
| Wk 10 Nov 7 | at App State Sun Belt | |
| Wk 11 Nov 14 | vs Georgia Southern Sun Belt | |
| Wk 12 Nov 21 | at Marshall Sun Belt | |
| Wk 13 Nov 28 | vs Louisiana Sun Belt | |
More coming. Per-team pages get the full treatment in Phase 3: current rating, season projection histogram, schedule with win probabilities, and live overlays on Pylon stream days. For now, this page exists so stories and news have a permanent home as content rolls in.
GIE projects a -3.7 rating drop and a -14.9pp shift in playoff probability if Georgia State loses its QB1 for an extended stretch. (n=5 historical samples; pooled across recent seasons.)
32 score
Share of last season's production each unit returns. Higher means more continuity: 70%+ is healthy, 45–70% a normal rebuild, under 45% a major turnover.
−1.1 rating
21 proven transfers in, carrying the production below from their prior school.
| Player | From | Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Savion HartRB From Georgetown | Georgetown | 73 |
| Ayden PereiraQB From Merrimack | Merrimack | 56 |
| Owen DupreeWR From West Georgia | West Georgia | 28 |
| Matt BuronTE From Fordham | Fordham | 15 |
| Jaden KellyLB From Kennesaw State | Kennesaw State | 12 |
| Jaylen PoeRB From Northern Illinois | Northern Illinois | 10 |
Impact scores offensive skill additions (QB/RB/WR/TE) — prior-season production normalized within position (100 ≈ a 90th-percentile producer at that spot) and discounted for non-FBS competition, so a top back counts alongside a top quarterback. Defensive and O-line additions count as transfers but aren't box-score measurable, so they carry no impact score. The rating figure is this class's portal contribution vs. the FBS average, capped at ±2.5.
Percentile is across all FBS teams with play-by-play data for the season. "Late & close" is yards per play in Q4+ with a one-score margin — a proxy for clutch offensive performance.
