Conference game
Sam Houston at Florida International
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 2:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Sam Houston 19% Underdog
Florida International 81% Favorite
Florida International is the model's favorite at 81%. Sam Houston has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Florida International — venue-specific learned value (n=8 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Sam Houston offense
43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Florida International offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup