2026 Week 11 · Conference game
New Mexico State at Missouri State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
Plaster Sports Complex
New Mexico State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -18.5
- National rank
- 125
- Proj. wins
- 4.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -19.1
- National rank
- 126
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
New Mexico State
41%
Missouri State
59%
Missouri State 90% CI: 50% – 67% Δ rating 0.6
Missouri State is the model's favorite at 59%. New Mexico State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Missouri State — venue-specific learned value (n=5 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
New Mexico State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Missouri State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 8:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Plaster Sports Complex
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No