Conference game
Kennesaw State at Sam Houston
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Kennesaw State 57% Favorite
Sam Houston 43% Underdog
Kennesaw State is the model's favorite at 57%. Sam Houston has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Sam Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=12 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Kennesaw State offense
Higher fit 43 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Sam Houston offense
38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup