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Conference game

Arkansas State at Louisiana

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 8:00 PM EDT

Final score

Final score by period
Team 1234 T
Arkansas State 01037 20
Louisiana Winner 70313 23

GIE pre-game call: Louisiana at 71%. Hit

Pre-game

GIE win probability

Arkansas State 29% Underdog
Louisiana 71% Favorite
Louisiana 90% CI
63–78%
Δ rating
Louisiana +7.4

Louisiana is the model's favorite at 71%. Arkansas State has a 29% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Louisiana — venue-specific night-game value (n=48 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Recaps

Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.