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2026 Week 12 · Conference game

Eastern Michigan at Western Michigan

Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC

Waldo Stadium

Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
Record
1-0
Rating
-16.1
National rank
122
Proj. wins
5.9
Playoff prob.
0%
Western Michigan
Mid-American
Record
0-0
Rating
-6.0
National rank
90
Proj. wins
6.9
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Eastern Michigan
17%
Western Michigan
83%
Western Michigan 90% CI: 77% – 88% Δ rating 10.1

Western Michigan is the model's favorite at 83%. Eastern Michigan has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Western Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Eastern Michigan offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Western Michigan offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Wednesday, November 18, 2026 · 12:00 AM UTC
Venue
Waldo Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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