Conference game
Toledo at Eastern Michigan
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toledo Winner | 10 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
 Eastern Michigan | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
GIE pre-game call: Toledo at 90%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Toledo 90% Favorite
Eastern Michigan 10% Underdog
Toledo is the model's favorite at 90%. Eastern Michigan has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.7 rating points baked in for Eastern Michigan — venue-specific learned value (n=45 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.