2026 Week 4
App State at NC State
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Carter-Finley Stadium
App State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -12.7
- National rank
- 111
- Proj. wins
- 5.2
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- 5.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
App State
6%
NC State
94%
NC State 90% CI: 92% – 96% Δ rating 18.4
NC State is the model's favorite at 94%. App State has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for NC State — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
App State offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
NC State offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Carter-Finley Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No