2026 Week 13 · Conference game
North Dakota State at San José State
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
CEFCU Stadium
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -1.8
- National rank
- 75
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
San José State
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -15.7
- National rank
- 121
- Proj. wins
- 4.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Dakota State
83%
San José State
17%
San José State 90% CI: 13% – 23% Δ rating 13.9
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 83%. San José State has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Dakota State offense
31 / 100
Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
San José State offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Friday, November 27, 2026 · 8:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- CEFCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No