Conference game
North Dakota State at San José State
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 3:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
North Dakota State 91% Favorite
San José State 9% Underdog
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 91%. San José State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for San José State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Dakota State offense
Higher fit 31 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup
San José State offense
29 / 100 Style-neutral matchup