Conference game
San José State at Air Force
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
San José State 17% Underdog
Air Force 83% Favorite
Air Force is the model's favorite at 83%. San José State has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Air Force — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
San José State offense
Higher fit 52 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Air Force offense
24 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup