2026 Week 1
Western Kentucky at Nevada
Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
Mackay Stadium
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -7.3
- National rank
- 94
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Nevada
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.7
- National rank
- 108
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Western Kentucky
49%
Nevada
51%
Nevada 90% CI: 42% – 61% Δ rating 4.4
Nevada is the model's favorite at 51%. Western Kentucky has a 49% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for Nevada — venue-specific learned value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Western Kentucky offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Nevada offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
56°F
Precipitation
1%
Wind
5 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Mackay Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No