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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Navy at Charlotte

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Jerry Richardson Stadium

Navy
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
1.2
National rank
64
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
1%
Charlotte
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-24.1
National rank
132
Proj. wins
1.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Navy
96%
Charlotte
4%
Charlotte 90% CI: 3% – 6% Δ rating 25.3

Navy is the model's favorite at 96%. Charlotte has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Navy offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Charlotte offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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