Conference game

Navy at Charlotte

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST

GIE win probability

Navy 95% Favorite

Charlotte 5% Underdog

Navy 90% CI: 93–96%
Δ rating: Navy +23.8

Navy is the model's favorite at 95%. Charlotte has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific learned value (n=44 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Navy and Charlotte compared
Measure	Navy American Athletic	Charlotte American Athletic
Record	2-6	1-7
Rating	−1.6	−25.4
National rank	80	136
Proj. wins	3.7	2.1
Playoff prob.	0%	0%

Game info

Venue: Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: No

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Navy offense 38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup

Charlotte offense Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup