Conference game
South Florida at Florida Atlantic
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
South Florida 57% Favorite
Florida Atlantic 43% Underdog
South Florida is the model's favorite at 57%. Florida Atlantic has a 43% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.2 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Florida offense
Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Florida Atlantic offense
40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup