Search 4thand4cast

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind
Conference game

Temple at Navy

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 3:30 PM EST

GIE win probability

Temple 23% Underdog
Navy 77% Favorite
Navy 90% CI
69–83%
Δ rating
Navy +6.1

Navy is the model's favorite at 77%. Temple has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.5 rating points baked in for Navy — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Temple offense Higher fit 40 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Navy offense 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup