2026 Week 9 · Conference game
Florida Atlantic at North Texas
Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
DATCU Stadium
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.1
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Texas
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Florida Atlantic
67%
North Texas
33%
North Texas 90% CI: 25% – 41% Δ rating 5.5
Florida Atlantic is the model's favorite at 67%. North Texas has a 33% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.3 rating points baked in for North Texas — venue-specific night-game value (n=50 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Florida Atlantic offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Texas offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 29, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- DATCU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No