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2026 Week 4

Louisiana at Charlotte

Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Jerry Richardson Stadium

Louisiana
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-10.6
National rank
102
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Charlotte
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-24.1
National rank
132
Proj. wins
1.6
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Louisiana
83%
Charlotte
17%
Charlotte 90% CI: 12% – 22% Δ rating 13.5

Louisiana is the model's favorite at 83%. Charlotte has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Charlotte — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Louisiana offense
42 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Charlotte offense
41 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Jerry Richardson Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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