2026 Week 2
Tulsa at Sam Houston
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
Tulsa
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.1
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 5.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Sam Houston
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -26.0
- National rank
- 134
- Proj. wins
- 2.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Tulsa
90%
Sam Houston
10%
Sam Houston 90% CI: 7% – 13% Δ rating 19.9
Tulsa is the model's favorite at 90%. Sam Houston has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Sam Houston — venue-specific learned value (n=9 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulsa offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Sam Houston offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
76°F
Precipitation
5%
Wind
10 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Elliott T. Bowers Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No