2026 Week 2 · Conference game
Navy at Florida Atlantic
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
FAU Stadium
Navy
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 1.2
- National rank
- 64
- Proj. wins
- 7.5
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Florida Atlantic
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -6.1
- National rank
- 91
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Navy
70%
Florida Atlantic
30%
Florida Atlantic 90% CI: 23% – 38% Δ rating 7.3
Navy is the model's favorite at 70%. Florida Atlantic has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.5 rating points baked in for Florida Atlantic — venue-specific night-game value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Navy offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Florida Atlantic offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Mainly clear
Temperature
85°F
Precipitation
9%
Wind
12 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- FAU Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No