2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Fresno State at Washington State
Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:30 AM UTC
Gesa Field
Fresno State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.4
- National rank
- 73
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Washington State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.3
- National rank
- 86
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Fresno State
41%
Washington State
59%
Washington State 90% CI: 50% – 68% Δ rating 2.9
Washington State is the model's favorite at 59%. Fresno State has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.8 rating points baked in for Washington State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Fresno State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Washington State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, October 4, 2026 · 1:30 AM UTC
- Venue
- Gesa Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No