Conference game
Washington State at Texas State
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 6:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Washington State 9% Underdog
Texas State 91% Favorite
Texas State is the model's favorite at 91%. Washington State has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Washington State offense
Higher fit 37 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Texas State offense
32 / 100 Style-neutral matchup