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2026 Week 12 · Conference game

Washington State at Texas State

Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC

Bobcat Stadium (TX)

Washington State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
-4.3
National rank
86
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Texas State
Pac-12
Record
0-0
Rating
-2.1
National rank
77
Proj. wins
5.8
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Washington State
39%
Texas State
61%
Texas State 90% CI: 52% – 69% Δ rating 2.2

Texas State is the model's favorite at 61%. Washington State has a 39% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.4 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific night-game value (n=52 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Washington State offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Texas State offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Venue
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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