Conference game
Fresno State at San Diego State
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 10:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fresno State | 0 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 23 |
 San Diego State Winner | 10 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 26 |
GIE pre-game call: Fresno State at 72%. Miss
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Fresno State 72% Favorite
San Diego State 28% Underdog
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 72%. San Diego State has a 28% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for San Diego State — venue-specific night-game value (n=26 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- San Diego State recap San Diego State: 2026 Week 7 recap San Diego State sits at a 2–3 record with a rating of –7.8, holding rank 100 overall—a standing that hasn't budged since last week despite the Aztecs' narrow 31–29 home win over Texas State in Week 5. The victory showcased late-game…
- Fresno State recap Fresno State: 2026 Week 7 recap Fresno State sits at 4–1 after a dominant road win at Washington State, where the Bulldogs' defense held the Cougars to just 6 points. The rating has held steady at –0.3, leaving them ranked 70th by GIE—a perch that reflects genuine…