North Texas at Texas State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 North Texas | 7 | 21 | 0 | 7 | 35 |
 Texas State Winner | 21 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 49 |
GIE pre-game call: Texas State at 64%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
North Texas 36% Underdog
Texas State 64% Favorite
Texas State is the model's favorite at 64%. North Texas has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.