2026 Week 2
UTSA at Texas State
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Bobcat Stadium (TX)
UTSA
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -1.1
- National rank
- 71
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.1
- National rank
- 77
- Proj. wins
- 5.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UTSA
50%
Texas State
50%
Texas State 90% CI: 41% – 59% Δ rating 1.0
Texas State is the model's favorite at 50%. UTSA has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.1 rating points baked in for Texas State — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UTSA offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Light drizzle
Temperature
83°F
Precipitation
12%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Bobcat Stadium (TX)
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No