Sacramento State at Fresno State
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 10:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sacramento State | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
 Fresno State Winner | 0 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 49 |
GIE pre-game call: Fresno State at 99%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Sacramento State 1% Underdog
Fresno State 99% Favorite
Fresno State is the model's favorite at 99%. Sacramento State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.1 rating points baked in for Fresno State — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.