Conference game
Washington at Oregon
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Washington 21% Underdog
Oregon 79% Favorite
Oregon is the model's favorite at 79%. Washington has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Washington offense
28 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Oregon offense
Higher fit 31 / 100 Style-neutral matchup